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<p>A simple framework for thinking about risks to health, safety, and the environment is introduced and strategies for eliciting expert judgments about associated uncertainties are described.</p>

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Reflections on Obtaining Probabilistic Judgments from Experts for Use in Risk and other Policy Analysis

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

    开放获取

  • 发表日期：

    2025年8月4日

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  • M. Granger Morgan

摘要

A simple framework for thinking about risks to health, safety, and the environment is introduced and strategies for eliciting expert judgments about associated uncertainties are described.