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<p>The 2024 Asian–Australian monsoon (AAM) year, defined as April 2024 to March 2025, was notable. Based on available data, a prolonged rainy season was observed in most parts of the AAM region, except for the Meiyu Region, which corresponds to the area affected by the second stage of the East Asian summer monsoon. The rainy season also featured elevated near-surface air temperatures, a boreal summer rainfall surplus of approximately 20% across South, East, and Mainland Southeast Asia, an austral summer rainfall deficit of approximately 30% in Northern Australia, and a surplus of approximately 30% in the Maritime Continent. During boreal winter, a strong East Asian winter monsoon circulation led to below-average precipitation along East Asia’s climatological rain belt, including South China and Japan, accompanied by above-average near-surface air temperatures. Meanwhile, the 2024 AAM exhibited notable subseasonal variability, with abrupt alternations between dry/drought and wet/flood conditions, as well as between warm and cold episodes over many regions. It was also characterized by widespread extreme events, including but not limited to heavy rainfall, heatwaves, cold surges, and tropical cyclones. Such AAM-associated variability and extremes exerted considerable social impacts and caused substantial economic losses, highlighting the ongoing challenges in understanding and predicting the AAM at regional scales and multiple timescales.</p>

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The 2024 Asian–Australian Monsoon Year: Widespread Extremes with Notable Subseasonal Variability and Socioeconomic Impacts

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年4月1日

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  • Lin Wang,
  • Zizhen Dong,
  • Tim Cowan,
  • Peng Hu,
  • Shiromani Jayawardena,
  • Maheswar Pradhan,
  • Hui Su,
  • Thea Turkington,
  • Wei Gu,
  • Seok-Woo Son,
  • Donaldi Sukma Permana,
  • Rajashree Naha,
  • Joseph Basconcillo,
  • Kieran Hunt,
  • Hiroshi G. Takahashi,
  • Raghavendra Ashrit,
  • Vladimir A. Semenov

摘要

The 2024 Asian–Australian monsoon (AAM) year, defined as April 2024 to March 2025, was notable. Based on available data, a prolonged rainy season was observed in most parts of the AAM region, except for the Meiyu Region, which corresponds to the area affected by the second stage of the East Asian summer monsoon. The rainy season also featured elevated near-surface air temperatures, a boreal summer rainfall surplus of approximately 20% across South, East, and Mainland Southeast Asia, an austral summer rainfall deficit of approximately 30% in Northern Australia, and a surplus of approximately 30% in the Maritime Continent. During boreal winter, a strong East Asian winter monsoon circulation led to below-average precipitation along East Asia’s climatological rain belt, including South China and Japan, accompanied by above-average near-surface air temperatures. Meanwhile, the 2024 AAM exhibited notable subseasonal variability, with abrupt alternations between dry/drought and wet/flood conditions, as well as between warm and cold episodes over many regions. It was also characterized by widespread extreme events, including but not limited to heavy rainfall, heatwaves, cold surges, and tropical cyclones. Such AAM-associated variability and extremes exerted considerable social impacts and caused substantial economic losses, highlighting the ongoing challenges in understanding and predicting the AAM at regional scales and multiple timescales.