Learning to Govern Locally: Fiscal Devolution, Knowledge Capacity, and Sustainable Development Outcomes
摘要
This paper examines fiscal devolution as a knowledge-driven governance mechanism within Pakistan’s decentralized institutional framework, with particular emphasis on how central fiscal transfers shape sub-national fiscal behaviour and advance Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Moving beyond a purely financial interpretation of intergovernmental transfers, the study conceptualizes National Finance Commission (NFC) awards as instruments that influence local governments’ fiscal learning, resource allocation capacity, and strategic development orientation. Two core research questions guide the analysis. First, the paper investigates whether central fiscal transfers enhance development-oriented expenditures at the sub-national level, particularly in public service delivery aligned with SDG priorities. Empirical evidence indicates that NFC transfers significantly increase development spending, suggesting improved allocative efficiency and policy responsiveness among recipient governments. Second, the study assesses whether fiscal transfers weaken local fiscal effort or, alternatively, facilitate institutional adjustment and revenue-enhancing behaviour. The results reveal that sub-national governments strategically utilize central transfers to recalibrate their fiscal structures, reduce distortionary local tax pressures, and strengthen tax revenue mobilization. By disentangling the individual and combined effects of different intergovernmental transfer mechanisms, this research contributes to the knowledge economy literature by demonstrating that fiscal devolution fosters sustainable development outcomes when it operates through institutional learning and enhanced fiscal capacity. The findings offer important policy insights for designing transfer systems that support knowledge-based local governance and long-term development sustainability.