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<p>The re-emergence of conflicts in developing countries is the subject of a complex and hardly consensual literature. The final aim of this article is to assess the direct and indirect effects of conflicts on global competitiveness observed. Thus, starting from the different dimensions of security fragility (internal conflicts, external conflicts), we specify and estimate a dynamic panel data model of a sample of 66 developing countries by the system generalized method of moments (S-GMM) over the period 2001–2019. Two main results emerge. Firstly, both internal and external conflicts contribute significantly to improving global competitiveness in DC’s. Secondly, the results of the mediation analysis show that the effect of conflicts on global competitiveness is mediated by the Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) diffusion channel, in particular mobile phone, Internet, fixed telephone and broadband in DC’s. The originality of this article is based on taking into account the global indicator of conflicts, particularly in terms of internal conflicts (civil wars, civil disorder, terrorism), external conflicts (cross-border conflicts, foreign pressures, wars) and analysis of mediation to determine the level of involvement of each transmission channel in this process of strengthening competitiveness. However, we suggest in addition to the quantitative and qualitative amelioration of technological infrastructures, the consolidating strategies for mitigating inter- and intra-country conflicts, favourable to improve global competitiveness and economic resilience in DC.</p>

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Conflicts and the Global Competitiveness of Developing Countries: The Moderating Role of ICTs

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年1月18日

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  • Harry Freddy Michel Yamben,
  • Anne Michèle Tenlep

摘要

The re-emergence of conflicts in developing countries is the subject of a complex and hardly consensual literature. The final aim of this article is to assess the direct and indirect effects of conflicts on global competitiveness observed. Thus, starting from the different dimensions of security fragility (internal conflicts, external conflicts), we specify and estimate a dynamic panel data model of a sample of 66 developing countries by the system generalized method of moments (S-GMM) over the period 2001–2019. Two main results emerge. Firstly, both internal and external conflicts contribute significantly to improving global competitiveness in DC’s. Secondly, the results of the mediation analysis show that the effect of conflicts on global competitiveness is mediated by the Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) diffusion channel, in particular mobile phone, Internet, fixed telephone and broadband in DC’s. The originality of this article is based on taking into account the global indicator of conflicts, particularly in terms of internal conflicts (civil wars, civil disorder, terrorism), external conflicts (cross-border conflicts, foreign pressures, wars) and analysis of mediation to determine the level of involvement of each transmission channel in this process of strengthening competitiveness. However, we suggest in addition to the quantitative and qualitative amelioration of technological infrastructures, the consolidating strategies for mitigating inter- and intra-country conflicts, favourable to improve global competitiveness and economic resilience in DC.