<p>This paper addresses Markov chain aggregation, a method that reduces state space complexity while preserving dynamical properties. We present a comprehensive framework to find optimal aggregations that balance minimizing the number of states with maintaining similarity to the original chain. We propose three interconnected algorithms: (1) an exhaustive algorithm that identifies optimal partitions, (2) a deterministic improvement that restricts the search space to partitions with <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="12597_2025_969_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="41" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(n - 1\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mi>n</mi> <mo>-</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> elements, and (3) a heuristic algorithm that uses Mean First Passage Time (MFPT) to further reduce the partition search space. Our evaluation framework applies the Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence rate as the primary metric to quantify similarity between original and reduced chains. We analyze the time complexity and show that our comprehensive BESTA algorithm operates at <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="12597_2025_969_Article_IEq2.gif" Format="GIF" Height="20" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="103" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\mathcal {O}(N^3(1 + Z))\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="script">O</mi> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <msup> <mi>N</mi> <mn>3</mn> </msup> <mrow> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>+</mo> <mi>Z</mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, where the stopping condition determines <i>Z</i>. Our experiments show that this approach outperforms existing techniques, significantly reducing computation time and maintaining controlled error bounds by using a parameterized stopping criterion. This method performs particularly well with large-scale Markov chains, where traditional exhaustive methods become computationally infeasible.</p>

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Deterministic and heuristic criteria for optimized Markov chain aggregation

  • Laurent Capocchi,
  • Jean-François Santucci

摘要

This paper addresses Markov chain aggregation, a method that reduces state space complexity while preserving dynamical properties. We present a comprehensive framework to find optimal aggregations that balance minimizing the number of states with maintaining similarity to the original chain. We propose three interconnected algorithms: (1) an exhaustive algorithm that identifies optimal partitions, (2) a deterministic improvement that restricts the search space to partitions with \(n - 1\) n - 1 elements, and (3) a heuristic algorithm that uses Mean First Passage Time (MFPT) to further reduce the partition search space. Our evaluation framework applies the Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence rate as the primary metric to quantify similarity between original and reduced chains. We analyze the time complexity and show that our comprehensive BESTA algorithm operates at \(\mathcal {O}(N^3(1 + Z))\) O ( N 3 ( 1 + Z ) ) , where the stopping condition determines Z. Our experiments show that this approach outperforms existing techniques, significantly reducing computation time and maintaining controlled error bounds by using a parameterized stopping criterion. This method performs particularly well with large-scale Markov chains, where traditional exhaustive methods become computationally infeasible.