<p>The logic of World War&#xa0;I and German warfare in World War&#xa0;II has dominated the war in Ukraine so far. All parties involved should prepare for further escalation, especially during the remaining three years of the Trump administration (until 2028). This is, in Putin’s view, the likely window of opportunity in which he can escalate without having to expect harsh retaliation from the US or Europe. Some wars do not end, but lead to enduring rivalry—currently the most likely scenario.</p>

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Metamorphosen des Ukrainekriegs

  • Andreas Heinemann-Grüder

摘要

The logic of World War I and German warfare in World War II has dominated the war in Ukraine so far. All parties involved should prepare for further escalation, especially during the remaining three years of the Trump administration (until 2028). This is, in Putin’s view, the likely window of opportunity in which he can escalate without having to expect harsh retaliation from the US or Europe. Some wars do not end, but lead to enduring rivalry—currently the most likely scenario.