The 2025 Canadian Jewish Vote in Political Context: Break with the Past or Return to Form?
摘要
This paper argues that left–right polarization has taken place in the Canadian party system since the 1960s and in the Canadian Jewish electorate since the 1970s. The ideological difference between the country’s two main parties, Liberal and Conservative, has widened, and Jewish party preferences, once solidly Liberal, now resemble those of the general population, approximately evenly split between Liberals and Conservatives. This conclusion flies in the face of the frequently heard opinion that Canadian Jews have abandoned the Liberal Party because it has become increasingly critical of Israeli policy concerning the Palestinians and is consequently fueling antisemitism in Canada. Analysis of a poll of decided Jewish voters on the eve of the 2025 federal election helps substantiate the point that, except for an anomalous period during which the popularity of Liberal Prime Minister Justin Trudeau plummeted in 2023–2024, Jewish party support in 2025 had not changed much since at least 2018.