<p>Tidal propagation in estuaries is shaped by the balance between morphological convergence and frictional effects, yet the influence of mud deposition associated with estuarine turbidity maxima remains unexplored. This study investigates the influence of Estuarine Turbidity Maxima (ETM) dynamics and river discharge on tidal propagation in the Loire and Gironde estuaries, combining frequency analysis of high-frequency observational data with an analytical model. Enhanced Harmonic Analysis reveals a tipping section-located downstream of the saline intrusion limit- in both hyperturbid systems, beyond which tidal properties (amplification, distortion, asymmetry) become highly sensitive to river discharge. Decomposing total friction into tidal, riverine, and interaction terms shows that the tipping point marks a regime shift where tide–river interaction dominates under low flow conditions, while the river term dominates during high discharge. Observations show that seasonal and interannual ETM-induced changes in bottom roughness can modulate tidal amplification by up to 35%, a mechanism confirmed by idealized modelling, while morphological changes have a more limited effect at these scales. Finally, scenario-based simulations suggest that sea-level rise and anthropogenic deepening may further enhance tidal amplification, potentially promoting the upstream migration of salinity and turbidity maxima, with broader implications for estuarine functioning under future climate and human pressures.</p>

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Influence of Estuarine Turbidity Maximum Dynamics and River Discharge on Tide Propagation in Two Fluvial-Estuarine Systems

  • Sophie Defontaine,
  • Ludovic Brivady,
  • Julie Cheynel,
  • Hannah Clercx,
  • Isabel Jalón-Rojas

摘要

Tidal propagation in estuaries is shaped by the balance between morphological convergence and frictional effects, yet the influence of mud deposition associated with estuarine turbidity maxima remains unexplored. This study investigates the influence of Estuarine Turbidity Maxima (ETM) dynamics and river discharge on tidal propagation in the Loire and Gironde estuaries, combining frequency analysis of high-frequency observational data with an analytical model. Enhanced Harmonic Analysis reveals a tipping section-located downstream of the saline intrusion limit- in both hyperturbid systems, beyond which tidal properties (amplification, distortion, asymmetry) become highly sensitive to river discharge. Decomposing total friction into tidal, riverine, and interaction terms shows that the tipping point marks a regime shift where tide–river interaction dominates under low flow conditions, while the river term dominates during high discharge. Observations show that seasonal and interannual ETM-induced changes in bottom roughness can modulate tidal amplification by up to 35%, a mechanism confirmed by idealized modelling, while morphological changes have a more limited effect at these scales. Finally, scenario-based simulations suggest that sea-level rise and anthropogenic deepening may further enhance tidal amplification, potentially promoting the upstream migration of salinity and turbidity maxima, with broader implications for estuarine functioning under future climate and human pressures.