Correlation Between Socio-Political Events and the Literary Publishing Landscape Between 2010–2024
摘要
A relatively small set of literary agents and publishers are often responsible for the majority of mass-market fiction and non-fiction produced and consumed in the United States. Various factors influence such agents and editors in which authors and books they choose to sign, purchase, and market, including personal tastes and sensitivity to potential sales. In this work, we investigate if, and how, the major socio-political events between 2010 and 2024 affected what kinds of books agents were looking to champion, what books publishers acquired, and, ultimately, what books became popular. Using statistical analyses and machine learning, we analyzed publicly available agent wishlists, book deal blurbs, and popular book lists to measure changes over time in the topics, themes, and voices these authors and books represent. Despite the variance in self-reported agent tastes, we found a strong correlation between the themes of certain socio-political events and topics appearing in agent profiles and book blurbs over the time period of our study.