From episodes to populations: evolutionary explanation requires a constructive epistemology
摘要
The sciences divide into those that discover laws and those that reconstruct histories. We argue that this division does not reflect a difference in subject matter, but a difference in epistemic regime. Law-based sciences operate under episodic closure: systems are idealized so that the outcomes of prior interactions do not alter the rules governing future ones. This regime-defining idealization (distinguished from pragmatic idealization) underlies the predictive successes of physics, but creates a systematic blind spot for evolutionary dynamics. We formalize this distinction using Stability-Driven Assembly (SDA), a minimal non-equilibrium framework in which differential persistence couples episodes into population-level evolutionary dynamics without genes, replication, or predefined fitness functions. Representing compositional objects as