Urban Change in a University Town: Spatiotemporal Patterns of Post-secondary Students, University Graduates, and Young Adults During a Period of Development and Disruption
摘要
Studentification is an important component of urban change in university towns and is often embedded within broader sociodemographic transformations in the knowledge economy context. This study applied a Bayesian hierarchical modeling approach to investigate the spatiotemporal patterns of post-secondary students, university graduates, and young adults in a mid-sized university town in Canada between 2011 and 2021, a period marked by both development and disruption. Shared neighborhoods between the three population groups were primarily located near post-secondary campuses and central business districts and were associated with public transit influences. During the COVID-19 pandemic, studentified neighborhoods near campuses saw a notable increase in university graduates and young adults, particularly the latter, suggesting a shift toward increasing youthification as studentification slowed. University graduates and young adults were also linked to transit-oriented development, with youthification intensifying especially along the newly opened light rail transit line between 2016 and 2021, a trend that warrants further examination using post-pandemic data. High-density and high-cost rental housing in neighborhoods occupied by students, university graduates, and young adults may have created barriers for other sociodemographic groups, such as working-class families. This raises concerns about whether current neighborhood planning and transit-oriented development initiatives are achieving their intended goals of fostering inclusive communities.