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<p>This paper uses a spatial econometric framework to empirically investigate the impact of digital rural development on county-level economic resilience, using a panel dataset of Chinese counties from 2018 to 2020. The findings reveal that digital rural development significantly enhances local economic resilience and generates substantial positive spatial spillovers. However, the effect of digital rural development on economic resilience varies depending on geographic distance and local absorptive capacity. Specifically, positive network externalities continuously accumulate within a 600-kilometer radius but invert into negative siphoning effects beyond 1,600&#xa0;km, and digital tools act as powerful multipliers in the Eastern and Central regions while exposing the Western and Northeastern peripheries to structural vulnerabilities. Mechanism analysis reveals that digital rural development strengthens economic resilience primarily by optimizing systemic adaptability and immediate shock resistance. Owing to the deficit in complementary industrial assets in peripheral areas, unconstrained digital platforms inadvertently facilitate the out-migration of local capital and labor toward advanced Eastern hubs. This study thus contributes to the literature by shedding light on the complex spatial boundaries and regional heterogeneity of economic resilience in the context of rapid rural digitalization.</p>

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How Does Rural Digitization Shape County Economic Resilience? Evidence from China Based on Spatial Spillover Analysis

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年5月28日

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  • Yuxin Jiao,
  • Yunfeng Xing

摘要

This paper uses a spatial econometric framework to empirically investigate the impact of digital rural development on county-level economic resilience, using a panel dataset of Chinese counties from 2018 to 2020. The findings reveal that digital rural development significantly enhances local economic resilience and generates substantial positive spatial spillovers. However, the effect of digital rural development on economic resilience varies depending on geographic distance and local absorptive capacity. Specifically, positive network externalities continuously accumulate within a 600-kilometer radius but invert into negative siphoning effects beyond 1,600 km, and digital tools act as powerful multipliers in the Eastern and Central regions while exposing the Western and Northeastern peripheries to structural vulnerabilities. Mechanism analysis reveals that digital rural development strengthens economic resilience primarily by optimizing systemic adaptability and immediate shock resistance. Owing to the deficit in complementary industrial assets in peripheral areas, unconstrained digital platforms inadvertently facilitate the out-migration of local capital and labor toward advanced Eastern hubs. This study thus contributes to the literature by shedding light on the complex spatial boundaries and regional heterogeneity of economic resilience in the context of rapid rural digitalization.