Comparative analysis of meteorological and air quality variables in urban and semi-urban environments: a case study of Varanasi and Azamgarh
摘要
Meteorological variables critically influence air quality by regulating pollutant dispersion, accumulation, and transformation. This study compares meteorological drivers and air quality parameters at two Indo-Gangetic Plain sites urban IIT BHU (Varanasi) and semi-urban REC (Azamgarh) from October 2023 to September 2024. The analysis integrates ground-based monitoring, Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD), back-trajectories, Seasonal-Trend Decomposition (STL), machine learning, and health-risk modelling to capture multi-scale pollution processes. Despite being only ~ 80 km apart, the sites exhibit distinct regimes. REC recorded higher annual mean NO₂ (43.9 µg/m³) and SO₂ (25.8 µg/m³) than IIT BHU (10.6 µg/m³; 3.4 µg/m³), whereas IIT BHU showed higher mean AQI (185 vs. 147). Episodic PM2.5 and PM10 approached the upper detection limit (1000 µg/m³) at REC during pre-monsoon dust intrusions, while IIT BHU peaks stayed below 400 µg/m³, mainly during winter stagnation. Correlation analysis confirmed strong PM2.5–PM10 coupling (r = 0.90 at IIT BHU; r = 1.00 at REC) and negative associations with wind speed and temperature, indicating contrasting stagnation and transport influences. Satellite validation showed better AOD–PM2.5 performance at IIT BHU (R² = 0.46) than REC (R² = 0.41). Prediction skill was higher at IIT BHU (R² = 0.92) than REC (R² = 0.80). Health-risk modelling indicated greater per-capita risk at REC (55 vs. 52 IHD deaths/100k). This integrated dual-site framework reveals the coexistence of stagnation- and transport-driven pollution regimes in eastern Uttar Pradesh, underscoring the need for site-specific monitoring and targeted mitigation across the Indo-Gangetic Plain with relevance to other densely populated, dust-prone regions.