Multi-objective Computational Optimization of AZ61 Magnesium Alloy Rolling Parameters Using Monte Carlo Simulation Framework
摘要
Current research presents a Monte Carlo simulation (MCS)-generated multi-objective optimization framework to determine the optimal rolling parameters for AZ61 magnesium alloy. Due to the strength–ductility trade-off inherent in hexagonal close-packed magnesium alloys, selecting suitable thermo-mechanical conditions is challenging. Quadratic regression models for hardness and tensile strength were developed using 250 experimentally validated samples. The models were highly predictive, with R2 = 0.94 and R2 = 0.91, and prediction errors were under 5%. The optimal condition was determined as 200 °C by stochastic sampling of rolling temperature (100-400 °C), number of passes (1-4), and initial thickness (4-10 mm). The yield strength was experimentally verified at 120 MPa, tensile strength at 290 MPa, and elongation at 13%, which is much better than the as-cast condition. XRD analysis at 200 °C confirmed α-Mg phase stability with controlled β-Mg17Al12 precipitation and moderated basal texture intensity, explaining the enhanced mechanical response. The proposed MCS framework provides a statistically robust and computationally efficient approach for optimizing AZ-series alloy rolling parameters in lightweight structural applications.