<i>Summary</i> <p>Hip fracture poses a major public health burden in aging populations. The relationship between long-term air pollution exposure and hip fracture risk remains unclear. In our study, long-term exposure to PM<sub>2.5</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub>, and NO<sub>2</sub> was associated with increased hip fracture risk, while ozone exposure showed a protective effect.</p> Purpose <p>This study aimed to evaluate the associations between major air pollutants and incident hip fracture in a nationwide Chinese cohort.</p> Methods <p>We included 14,101 participants aged ≥ 45&#xa0;years from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2011–2020). Annual concentrations of PM<sub>2.5</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub>, O<sub>3</sub>, and NO<sub>2</sub> were estimated using the CHAP dataset. Log-binomial regression models were applied to calculate relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness and consistency of the findings.</p> Results <p>During a 9-year follow-up, 474 participants (3.37%) experienced hip fracture. Each 10&#xa0;µg/m<sup>3</sup> increase in PM<sub>2.5</sub> and PM<sub>10</sub> concentrations was associated with a higher risk of hip fracture (PM<sub>2.5</sub>: RR 1.129, 95% CI 1.071–1.191; PM<sub>10</sub>: RR 1.052, 95% CI 1.024–1.081). In contrast, ozone exposure showed an inverse association (RR 0.518, 95% CI 0.458–0.585). No overall association was found for NO<sub>2</sub>, although an elevated risk was observed in the third exposure quartile (RR 1.302, 95% CI 1.012–1.675). Subgroup analyses indicated stronger PM<sub>2.5</sub>-related risks among participants with higher education levels, a more pronounced inverse association with ozone in adults aged &lt; 60&#xa0;years and current smokers, and greater NO<sub>2</sub>-related risk among non-smokers.</p> Conclusions <p>Long-term exposure to PM<sub>2.5</sub> and PM<sub>10</sub> increased hip fracture risk, while ozone exposure appeared protective. Moderate NO<sub>2</sub> exposure may also affect bone fragility. These results highlight the need for pollutant-specific prevention strategies.</p>

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Long-term ambient air pollution and the risk of hip fracture among older adults: a nationwide cohort study

  • Chuchu Liu,
  • Hanxiao Hu,
  • Jianhui Zhao,
  • Xiaoli Qian,
  • Lingyi Wang,
  • Yuyuan Hu,
  • Jiali Chen,
  • Yiquan Xiong,
  • Yue Wu

摘要

Summary

Hip fracture poses a major public health burden in aging populations. The relationship between long-term air pollution exposure and hip fracture risk remains unclear. In our study, long-term exposure to PM2.5, PM10, and NO2 was associated with increased hip fracture risk, while ozone exposure showed a protective effect.

Purpose

This study aimed to evaluate the associations between major air pollutants and incident hip fracture in a nationwide Chinese cohort.

Methods

We included 14,101 participants aged ≥ 45 years from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2011–2020). Annual concentrations of PM2.5, PM10, O3, and NO2 were estimated using the CHAP dataset. Log-binomial regression models were applied to calculate relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness and consistency of the findings.

Results

During a 9-year follow-up, 474 participants (3.37%) experienced hip fracture. Each 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations was associated with a higher risk of hip fracture (PM2.5: RR 1.129, 95% CI 1.071–1.191; PM10: RR 1.052, 95% CI 1.024–1.081). In contrast, ozone exposure showed an inverse association (RR 0.518, 95% CI 0.458–0.585). No overall association was found for NO2, although an elevated risk was observed in the third exposure quartile (RR 1.302, 95% CI 1.012–1.675). Subgroup analyses indicated stronger PM2.5-related risks among participants with higher education levels, a more pronounced inverse association with ozone in adults aged < 60 years and current smokers, and greater NO2-related risk among non-smokers.

Conclusions

Long-term exposure to PM2.5 and PM10 increased hip fracture risk, while ozone exposure appeared protective. Moderate NO2 exposure may also affect bone fragility. These results highlight the need for pollutant-specific prevention strategies.