Scholarlink

<p>Climate change and temperature rise affect various aspects of human life, including agricultural production. The paper evaluates the variability in maximum temperatures across 47 districts of the Trans-Gangetic Plains, a pivotal Agro-Climatic Zone in India, over 1901–2021. It investigates annual as well as seasonal, i.e., summer, monsoon, post-monsoon, and winter seasons, maximum temperatures by employing four distinct methods: Mann Kendall (MK) test, modified Mann Kendall (MMK) test, innovative trend analysis (ITA), and the simple linear regression (SLR) model. We found a significant rise in annual maximum temperatures across Trans-Gangetic Plains, ranging from 0.002 to 0.053&#xa0;°C per decade over 1901–2021. The last 3&#xa0;decades (1991–2021) have had more pronounced maximum temperatures than previous decades. Further, three seasons, i.e., summer, post-monsoon, and winter, demonstrate rising maximum temperatures, with the highest rise in the winter (0.044–0.099&#xa0;°C per decade). However, monsoon season shows declining maximum temperature trends across all 47 districts, ranging between − 0.016 and − 0.067&#xa0;°C per decade. Further, ITA captures more significant trends than MK, MMK, and SLR. The results advance the understanding of maximum temperatures’ variability using different methods, identify distinct patterns for 47 districts of Trans-Gangetic Plains, and thus demand a comprehensive Agro-Climatic Zone specific response plan, including adaptation and mitigation strategies, to address these changes.</p>

错误：搜索内容不能为空，请输入英文关键词
错误：关键词超出字数限制，请精简
高级检索

Trans-Gangetic Plains of India: understanding maximum temperatures trends across seasons and methods

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年6月16日

查看全文
  • Ayushi Niranjan,
  • Anand Madhukar

摘要

Climate change and temperature rise affect various aspects of human life, including agricultural production. The paper evaluates the variability in maximum temperatures across 47 districts of the Trans-Gangetic Plains, a pivotal Agro-Climatic Zone in India, over 1901–2021. It investigates annual as well as seasonal, i.e., summer, monsoon, post-monsoon, and winter seasons, maximum temperatures by employing four distinct methods: Mann Kendall (MK) test, modified Mann Kendall (MMK) test, innovative trend analysis (ITA), and the simple linear regression (SLR) model. We found a significant rise in annual maximum temperatures across Trans-Gangetic Plains, ranging from 0.002 to 0.053 °C per decade over 1901–2021. The last 3 decades (1991–2021) have had more pronounced maximum temperatures than previous decades. Further, three seasons, i.e., summer, post-monsoon, and winter, demonstrate rising maximum temperatures, with the highest rise in the winter (0.044–0.099 °C per decade). However, monsoon season shows declining maximum temperature trends across all 47 districts, ranging between − 0.016 and − 0.067 °C per decade. Further, ITA captures more significant trends than MK, MMK, and SLR. The results advance the understanding of maximum temperatures’ variability using different methods, identify distinct patterns for 47 districts of Trans-Gangetic Plains, and thus demand a comprehensive Agro-Climatic Zone specific response plan, including adaptation and mitigation strategies, to address these changes.