Once bitten, twice shy: A modeling framework for incorporating heterogeneous mosquito biting into transmission models
摘要
The risk and intensity of mosquito-borne disease outbreaks are tightly linked to the frequency at which mosquitoes feed on blood, also known as the biting rate. However, standard models of mosquito-borne disease transmission inherently assume that mosquitoes bite only once per reproductive cycle—an assumption commonly violated in nature. Drivers of multiple biting, such as host defensive behaviors or climate factors, also affect the mosquito gonotrophic cycle duration (GCD), a quantity customarily used to estimate the biting rate. Here, we present a novel framework for incorporating more complex mosquito biting behaviors into transmission models. This framework can account for heterogeneity in and linkages between mosquito biting rates and multiple biting. We provide general formulas for the basic offspring number,