<p>Chronic antigen exposure in the tumor microenvironment drives CD<InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="11538_2025_1507_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="16" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="19" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(8^+\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msup> <mn>8</mn> <mo>+</mo> </msup> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> T cell exhaustion, marked by increased inhibitory receptors and diminished effector functions. Immune checkpoint blockade seeks to prevent or reverse exhaustion, but its success relies on the pre-existing state of tumor-infiltrating T cells. To investigate this, we developed a mathematical model examining: (1) how T cell exhaustion disrupts tumor-immune equilibrium, (2) anti-PD-L1 efficacy across exhaustion states, and (3) efficacy of next-generation therapies (e.g., IFN<InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="11538_2025_1507_Article_IEq2.gif" Format="GIF" Height="10" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="13" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\upalpha \)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mi mathvariant="normal">α</mi> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>-anti-PD-L1, PD1-IL2v). Stability analysis and simulations reveal that tumor PD-L1 expression critically influences immune dynamics, particularly the bistability of tumor-free and tumorous states. High PD-1 expression and exhaustion rates correlate with growth of tumor and impaired expansion of less-exhausted CD<InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="11538_2025_1507_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="16" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="19" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(8^+\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msup> <mn>8</mn> <mo>+</mo> </msup> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> T cells. While anti-PD-L1 efficacy depends on baseline exhaustion, severe exhaustion enables immune escape. Next-generation therapies enhancing cytotoxicity and sustaining less-exhausted T cell populations show improved tumor control, suggesting combination strategies may overcome resistance.</p>

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Modeling Combination Therapies and T Cell Exhaustion Dynamics in the Tumor Under Immune Checkpoint Blockade

  • Xiulan Lai,
  • Teng Yu

摘要

Chronic antigen exposure in the tumor microenvironment drives CD \(8^+\) 8 + T cell exhaustion, marked by increased inhibitory receptors and diminished effector functions. Immune checkpoint blockade seeks to prevent or reverse exhaustion, but its success relies on the pre-existing state of tumor-infiltrating T cells. To investigate this, we developed a mathematical model examining: (1) how T cell exhaustion disrupts tumor-immune equilibrium, (2) anti-PD-L1 efficacy across exhaustion states, and (3) efficacy of next-generation therapies (e.g., IFN \(\upalpha \) α -anti-PD-L1, PD1-IL2v). Stability analysis and simulations reveal that tumor PD-L1 expression critically influences immune dynamics, particularly the bistability of tumor-free and tumorous states. High PD-1 expression and exhaustion rates correlate with growth of tumor and impaired expansion of less-exhausted CD \(8^+\) 8 + T cells. While anti-PD-L1 efficacy depends on baseline exhaustion, severe exhaustion enables immune escape. Next-generation therapies enhancing cytotoxicity and sustaining less-exhausted T cell populations show improved tumor control, suggesting combination strategies may overcome resistance.