<p>Loess-like silty clay (LSC), widely distributed in major Yellow River Basin projects, exhibits high variability in dynamic parameters, increasing seismic subsidence risk. This study employed combined resonance column-cyclic triaxial tests to quantitatively reveal, for the first time, systematic deviations in existing codes regarding LSC stiffness degradation and damping under small-strain conditions, providing a critical basis for revising seismic response analyses. Bender element tests and in situ wave velocity measurements established a deterministic conversion relationship between laboratory and field shear wave velocities for loess-like soils. To address the challenge of limited LSC datasets, a robust PSO-CatBoost prediction framework was developed: Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) was employed to globally optimize CatBoost hyperparameters, with model robustness rigorously validated through residual analysis, Durbin–Watson test, and ± 1% input perturbation. Combined with Sobol global sensitivity analysis, this research elucidated for the first time the differential control mechanisms of wave velocities in LSC: shear wave velocity <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(V_{s}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mi>V</mi> <mi>s</mi> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> is dominated by burial depth (<i>S</i><sub>1</sub> = 0.786), reflecting stress-structure control characteristics, while compression wave velocity <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(V_{p}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mi>V</mi> <mi>p</mi> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> is primarily controlled by the liquidity index (<i>S</i><sub>1</sub> = 0.345), highlighting the core influence of pore fluids and the fluid-plastic state. The optimized model achieved significantly higher prediction accuracy for both <InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(V_{s}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mi>V</mi> <mi>s</mi> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> (<InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(R^{2}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msup> <mi>R</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msup> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> = 0.916, MAPE = 7.25%) and <InlineEquation ID="IEq5"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(V_{p}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mi>V</mi> <mi>p</mi> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> (<InlineEquation ID="IEq6"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(R^{2}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msup> <mi>R</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msup> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> = 0.924, MAPE = 7.77%) compared to benchmark methods. This advancement provides a reliable tool to substantially reduce exploration costs and enhance the reliability of seismic safety assessments in LSC regions.</p>

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Dynamic characteristics of loess-like silty clay and methods for predicting wave velocity

  • Liu Zhenghao,
  • Lu Linhai,
  • Ma Xianfeng,
  • Chaojun Wu,
  • Qianwei Xu,
  • Jiecheng Sun,
  • Bolong Ma

摘要

Loess-like silty clay (LSC), widely distributed in major Yellow River Basin projects, exhibits high variability in dynamic parameters, increasing seismic subsidence risk. This study employed combined resonance column-cyclic triaxial tests to quantitatively reveal, for the first time, systematic deviations in existing codes regarding LSC stiffness degradation and damping under small-strain conditions, providing a critical basis for revising seismic response analyses. Bender element tests and in situ wave velocity measurements established a deterministic conversion relationship between laboratory and field shear wave velocities for loess-like soils. To address the challenge of limited LSC datasets, a robust PSO-CatBoost prediction framework was developed: Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) was employed to globally optimize CatBoost hyperparameters, with model robustness rigorously validated through residual analysis, Durbin–Watson test, and ± 1% input perturbation. Combined with Sobol global sensitivity analysis, this research elucidated for the first time the differential control mechanisms of wave velocities in LSC: shear wave velocity \(V_{s}\) V s is dominated by burial depth (S1 = 0.786), reflecting stress-structure control characteristics, while compression wave velocity \(V_{p}\) V p is primarily controlled by the liquidity index (S1 = 0.345), highlighting the core influence of pore fluids and the fluid-plastic state. The optimized model achieved significantly higher prediction accuracy for both \(V_{s}\) V s ( \(R^{2}\) R 2  = 0.916, MAPE = 7.25%) and \(V_{p}\) V p ( \(R^{2}\) R 2  = 0.924, MAPE = 7.77%) compared to benchmark methods. This advancement provides a reliable tool to substantially reduce exploration costs and enhance the reliability of seismic safety assessments in LSC regions.