Psychosocial adversity captured by ICD-10 Z-codes and mortality risk: evidence from the UK Biobank
摘要
Psychosocial adversity is a major determinant of health, but the mortality associations of its clinical documentation via ICD-10 Z55–Z65 codes remain unclear. We conducted a matched cohort study of UK Biobank participants with linked Hospital Episode Statistics and mortality records. Participants with ≥ 1 ICD-10 Z55–Z65 code recorded between 2010 and 2020 were propensity score–matched (1:1) to hospitalized participants without Z-codes. Mortality follow-up occurred from 2020 to 2023. Associations with all-cause mortality were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models, and cause-specific mortality using Fine–Gray subdistribution hazard models accounting for competing risks. The matched cohort included 13,604 participants (6802 with Z-codes and 6802 without). During a mean follow-up of 3.75 years, mortality rates were 50.8 versus 22.9 deaths per 1000 person-years among participants with and without Z-codes, respectively. Z-code documentation was associated with higher all-cause mortality (HR = 2.02, 95% CI = 1.82, 2.23). Elevated risks were observed across major causes of death, with the strongest association for housing and economic hardship (Z59). Hospital documentation of psychosocial adversity (ICD-10 Z55–Z65 codes) was associated with substantially higher mortality and may contribute to population health surveillance when integrated into electronic health records.
Graphical abstractExposure identification
• UK Biobank participants with ≥1 Z55–Z65 code.
• Codes reflect social, economic, and psychosocial adversity.
Study design
• 1:1 propensity score (PS) matching with hospitalized controls, after alignment of admission dates.
• Matched on baseline and admission age, sex, race/ethnicity, TDI, education and income.
• Sensitivity analysis for 1:2, 1:3 PS matching and IPTW type of modeling.
Analytic approach
• Follow‑up: 2020–2023.
• Cox & Fine–Gray models.
• Adjusted for all above factors along with LE8, self-rated health, comorbidities and medication use.
Key findings
• HR all‑cause mortality : HR=2.02; 95% CI: 1.82–2.23.
• Elevated external, respiratory and other causes, as well as cancer and CVD mortality.
• Housing/Economic adversity (Z59) was consistently the strongest predictor for all-cause mortality, especially in the 1:1 matched cohort.