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<p>Using the High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09) baseline, transcript records, and the Postsecondary Education Administrative Records (PEAR; degree completions through 2021), we examine whether taking AP Calculus, Biology, Chemistry, Physics, or Statistics predicts earning a postsecondary credential in four STEM fields: health professions; biology, life science, and agriculture; physical science and engineering; and mathematics and computer science. To address selection bias, we estimate average treatment effect on the treated models using propensity score weighting, assess balance, and fit weighted logistic regressions, with subgroup analyses by sex, race/ethnicity, and their intersection. Results indicate strong course–field alignment: AP Biology is associated with substantially higher likelihood of earning a biology/life science/agriculture degree and AP Calculus and Physics are positively associated with earning a physical science/engineering degree. AP Statistics shows no consistent relationship with STEM degree attainment. We also find heterogeneous relationships by sex and race/ethnicity, including negative associations with health professions for some AP math/science courses.</p>

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AP STEM Coursetaking and STEM Degree Attainment

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年6月16日

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  • Burhan Ogut,
  • George Bohrnstedt,
  • Yifan Bai,
  • Roman Ruiz,
  • Kamal Middlebrook,
  • Darrick Yee

摘要

Using the High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS:09) baseline, transcript records, and the Postsecondary Education Administrative Records (PEAR; degree completions through 2021), we examine whether taking AP Calculus, Biology, Chemistry, Physics, or Statistics predicts earning a postsecondary credential in four STEM fields: health professions; biology, life science, and agriculture; physical science and engineering; and mathematics and computer science. To address selection bias, we estimate average treatment effect on the treated models using propensity score weighting, assess balance, and fit weighted logistic regressions, with subgroup analyses by sex, race/ethnicity, and their intersection. Results indicate strong course–field alignment: AP Biology is associated with substantially higher likelihood of earning a biology/life science/agriculture degree and AP Calculus and Physics are positively associated with earning a physical science/engineering degree. AP Statistics shows no consistent relationship with STEM degree attainment. We also find heterogeneous relationships by sex and race/ethnicity, including negative associations with health professions for some AP math/science courses.