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<p>This study investigates how climate-induced shocks to agricultural livelihoods in India affect newborn survival rates. Preliminary analysis using district-level data from 1966–2011, finds that extreme temperatures and precipitation reduce crop productivity and input efficiency. Further to understand the impact on health due to the climate shock on agricultural livelihoods, the study employs an agriculture-household model. This model predicts that adaptation strategies like improved technologies and consumption smoothing can mitigate the negative effects of climate shocks on newborn health. Empirical analysis tests the predictions using data on 12,000 newborns from 2010–2015, confirming these predictions. Extreme low temperatures and low precipitation before maternal conception increase infant mortality rates by 1.09 and 1.53 percentage points, respectively. Lastly, it reveals that climate shocks to agricultural livelihoods reduce birth weight and size, increasing the risk of infant mortality. However, the impact is less severe for households with better climate adaptation capacities.</p>

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Farmer’s climate adaptability and newborn’s mortality risk: Evidence from Indian Agriculture Households

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年1月31日

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  • Soumya Pal

摘要

This study investigates how climate-induced shocks to agricultural livelihoods in India affect newborn survival rates. Preliminary analysis using district-level data from 1966–2011, finds that extreme temperatures and precipitation reduce crop productivity and input efficiency. Further to understand the impact on health due to the climate shock on agricultural livelihoods, the study employs an agriculture-household model. This model predicts that adaptation strategies like improved technologies and consumption smoothing can mitigate the negative effects of climate shocks on newborn health. Empirical analysis tests the predictions using data on 12,000 newborns from 2010–2015, confirming these predictions. Extreme low temperatures and low precipitation before maternal conception increase infant mortality rates by 1.09 and 1.53 percentage points, respectively. Lastly, it reveals that climate shocks to agricultural livelihoods reduce birth weight and size, increasing the risk of infant mortality. However, the impact is less severe for households with better climate adaptation capacities.