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<p>This study examines how the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) agenda can be localized to strengthen demographic resilience at the subnational level, with Thailand used as an empirical case. Departing from accounts that treat demographic resilience as a demographic outcome, the study reframes it as a governance capability—an institutional capacity, shaped by mandate clarity, fiscal architecture, and data infrastructure, to translate global ICPD commitments into rights-based subnational practice. A four-layer mixed-method design was adopted, integrating bibliometric analysis of ICPD30 literature, documentary policy review, situational analysis of national and subnational frameworks, and focus group discussions with 14 local stakeholders across five municipalities in northeastern Thailand. Each layer is explicitly mapped to the study’s research questions, and the analysis converges the four streams through triangulation rather than sequential reporting. The findings reveal a persistent implementation gap: while national policy alignment with ICPD principles is strong, subnational governance is constrained by unclear implementation mandates, fragmented institutional responsibilities, fiscal crowding-out by mandated ageing expenditures, workforce shortages, and weak demographic data systems for local planning. At the same time, locally piloted initiatives—including smart ageing data platforms, community-based caregiver networks, and inclusive service programs—show that ICPD principles can be operationalized where enabling governance conditions exist. The study contributes (i) a reframing of demographic resilience as a subnational governance capability, (ii) empirical evidence on how ICPD commitments travel through a decentralized administrative architecture, and (iii) a methodological template linking macro-knowledge mapping to micro-governance practice. The findings inform clearer national-to-local implementation mechanisms, integrated demographic intelligence, and rights-based responses to population ageing in Thailand and comparable middle-income contexts.</p>

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Localizing the ICPD agenda for demographic resilience: governance, data systems, and subnational policy implementation in Thailand

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年6月16日

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  • Sirisak Laochankham,
  • Peerasit Kamnuansilpa,
  • Rasita Dasri,
  • Pittikorn Panyamanee,
  • Nattaya Srihanarm,
  • Wirapong Chansanam,
  • Umawadee Detthamrong

摘要

This study examines how the International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) agenda can be localized to strengthen demographic resilience at the subnational level, with Thailand used as an empirical case. Departing from accounts that treat demographic resilience as a demographic outcome, the study reframes it as a governance capability—an institutional capacity, shaped by mandate clarity, fiscal architecture, and data infrastructure, to translate global ICPD commitments into rights-based subnational practice. A four-layer mixed-method design was adopted, integrating bibliometric analysis of ICPD30 literature, documentary policy review, situational analysis of national and subnational frameworks, and focus group discussions with 14 local stakeholders across five municipalities in northeastern Thailand. Each layer is explicitly mapped to the study’s research questions, and the analysis converges the four streams through triangulation rather than sequential reporting. The findings reveal a persistent implementation gap: while national policy alignment with ICPD principles is strong, subnational governance is constrained by unclear implementation mandates, fragmented institutional responsibilities, fiscal crowding-out by mandated ageing expenditures, workforce shortages, and weak demographic data systems for local planning. At the same time, locally piloted initiatives—including smart ageing data platforms, community-based caregiver networks, and inclusive service programs—show that ICPD principles can be operationalized where enabling governance conditions exist. The study contributes (i) a reframing of demographic resilience as a subnational governance capability, (ii) empirical evidence on how ICPD commitments travel through a decentralized administrative architecture, and (iii) a methodological template linking macro-knowledge mapping to micro-governance practice. The findings inform clearer national-to-local implementation mechanisms, integrated demographic intelligence, and rights-based responses to population ageing in Thailand and comparable middle-income contexts.