Time frequency connectedness between cryptocurrencies, digital gold and global stock markets: evidence from TVP-VAR and wavelet analysis
摘要
This study examines the dynamic connectedness between cryptocurrencies, digital gold, and global stock markets using a time–frequency framework. Specifically, it employs the Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression (TVP-VAR) model alongside wavelet analysis to capture how spillovers and interdependencies evolve over time and across different investment horizons. The results reveal that connectedness among these markets is highly time-varying and intensifies during periods of heightened global uncertainty and financial stress. Cryptocurrencies exhibit strong short-term spillovers, indicating rapid transmission of shocks, while their long-term connectedness with global stock markets remains relatively weak. Digital gold, on the other hand, exhibits characteristics more consistent with a safe-haven asset, particularly during crises, as its spillovers with equities are more limited and less persistent. The wavelet analysis further confirms that most interactions occur at high frequencies, suggesting that market participants react quickly to shocks, whereas long-term dependencies are comparatively subdued. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of considering both time and frequency dimensions when assessing diversification benefits and risk transmission across cryptocurrencies, digital gold, and global equity markets.