Developing a methodology for characterizing cascading natural hazards associated with landslide risk in Sweden
摘要
The frequency and severity of natural hazards are expected to increase globally due to climate change. Cascading natural hazards refer to a type of multiple hazards in which one event follows shortly after another, either because they are interdependent or triggered by the same event. Despite their increasing prevalence, risk assessment often focuses on single hazards rather than multiple, interconnected ones. This is also the case in Sweden, where risk mapping for landslides and floods is done separately, but not for scenarios where for example, a landslide might trigger a flood or other events. The objective of this study is to examine international approaches and cases of cascading natural events linked to landslides to understand their occurrence, mechanisms, locations and timing, and to identify and adapt methods to characterize cascading natural hazards within the Swedish context. A semi-quantitative methodology, developed to assess the possibility of cascading natural hazards associated with landslide risk in Sweden using a cascading natural hazard index (KHI), is presented and applied in two study areas. The first study area is along the Göta River in the southwest, known for its high landslide susceptibility due to thick layers of soft sensitive clay. The second area is along Ångermanälven River in the north-east, characterized by high steep slopes with thick layers of silt and sand. The results are presented in GIS-format.