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<p>Based on the technology trajectory theory and institutional theory, this study develops a moderated mediation model to systematically investigate the mechanism and boundary conditions through which government-led technical standardization influences regional innovation performance in China. Utilizing a comprehensive provincial-level panel dataset from 2013 to 2022 and employing a two-way fixed effects approach, we provide robust empirical evidence demonstrating that government-led standardization significantly enhances regional innovation performance. Specifically, this positive impact operates through dual mediating pathways: facilitating technology trajectory extension and enabling technology trajectory transformation. Furthermore, our analysis reveals that institutional development serves as a critical moderator, where regions with more robust institutional frameworks experience substantially stronger innovation effects from standardization policies. By elucidating the complete “policy-trajectory-performance” transmission mechanism, this research advances theoretical understanding of standardization-innovation dynamics and offers valuable insights for designing effective innovation policies in emerging economies.</p>

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Research on the impact of government-led technical standardization on regional innovation performance

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年2月21日

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  • Yuxiao Wang,
  • Meiyu Qin,
  • Xingyu Yan,
  • Lige Liu,
  • Tiantian Shang

摘要

Based on the technology trajectory theory and institutional theory, this study develops a moderated mediation model to systematically investigate the mechanism and boundary conditions through which government-led technical standardization influences regional innovation performance in China. Utilizing a comprehensive provincial-level panel dataset from 2013 to 2022 and employing a two-way fixed effects approach, we provide robust empirical evidence demonstrating that government-led standardization significantly enhances regional innovation performance. Specifically, this positive impact operates through dual mediating pathways: facilitating technology trajectory extension and enabling technology trajectory transformation. Furthermore, our analysis reveals that institutional development serves as a critical moderator, where regions with more robust institutional frameworks experience substantially stronger innovation effects from standardization policies. By elucidating the complete “policy-trajectory-performance” transmission mechanism, this research advances theoretical understanding of standardization-innovation dynamics and offers valuable insights for designing effective innovation policies in emerging economies.