<p>We present a low-regret, parameter-free algorithm for online portfolio selection aimed at tracking an external benchmark’s returns using the mean absolute deviation loss. The algorithm is based on a black-box reduction technique of Cutkosky and Orabona (<CitationRef CitationID="CR14">2018</CitationRef>), that combines coin-betting for magnitude learning and online gradient descent for direction learning. For the baseline comparator class of constantly rebalanced portfolios, we establish a regret bound of <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(O(\sqrt{T})\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mi>O</mi> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <msqrt> <mi>T</mi> </msqrt> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, where <i>T</i> is the time horizon. The main contribution is the extension of this method to compete against functional comparators from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space by using a random feature-based approximation. The method is illustrated by two computer experiments: one is testing it against a constantly rebalanced portfolio in a high-dimensional market, and another is evaluating the random feature-based approach in a single-asset, mean-reverting market.</p>

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ONLINE PORTFOLIO SELECTION FOR TRACKING BENCHMARK RETURNS: A LOW-REGRET ALGORITHM AGAINST FUNCTIONAL COMPARATORS

  • Dmitry B. Rokhlin

摘要

We present a low-regret, parameter-free algorithm for online portfolio selection aimed at tracking an external benchmark’s returns using the mean absolute deviation loss. The algorithm is based on a black-box reduction technique of Cutkosky and Orabona (2018), that combines coin-betting for magnitude learning and online gradient descent for direction learning. For the baseline comparator class of constantly rebalanced portfolios, we establish a regret bound of \(O(\sqrt{T})\) O ( T ) , where T is the time horizon. The main contribution is the extension of this method to compete against functional comparators from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space by using a random feature-based approximation. The method is illustrated by two computer experiments: one is testing it against a constantly rebalanced portfolio in a high-dimensional market, and another is evaluating the random feature-based approach in a single-asset, mean-reverting market.