Understanding co-invading species’ ecological strategies and interactions with causal inference and simple dynamic models: Bighead (Hypophthalmichthys nobilis) and Silver carp (H. molitrix) in the Illinois River, USA
摘要
Species interactions among multiple invasive species can present hidden challenges for management and eradication efforts. Bighead and Silver carp (Hypophthalmichthys nobilis and H. molitrix, respectively) are closely related species that have co-invaded the Mississippi River and many of its tributaries, including the Illinois River. We used a combination of causal inference and dynamic models to test for interspecific interactions in a 10-year data set of hydroacoustic density data from the Illinois River. The results suggest that Bighead and Silver carp are exploiting different ecological strategies; where Bighead carp shows fast initial growth but low equilibrium density and Silver carp had a lower low-density growth rate but larger equilibrium population density. Further, we found evidence for a positive interspecific effect of Silver carp on Bighead carp. The mechanism leading to the observed positive interactions is unknown, but could be an effect of ecological facilitation, differential responses to harvest of both species, or hybridization and introgression. Finally, while these results provide valuable information in the ecological strategies and relationships between these species, simulations of the resulting models suggest that the magnitude of the positive interaction is likely too small to be exploited for innovative multispecies management interventions.