<p>This paper devises a novel neural-inspired approach for simulating multivariate extremes. Specifically, we propose a GAN-based generative model for sampling multivariate data exceeding large thresholds, giving rise to what we refer to as the ExceedGAN&#xa0;algorithm. Our approach is based on approximating marginal log-quantile functions using feedforward neural networks with eLU activation functions specifically introduced for bias correction. An error bound is provided on the margins, assuming a <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\varvec{J}\)</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>th order condition from extreme value theory. The numerical experiments illustrate that ExceedGAN&#xa0;outperforms competitors, both on synthetic and real-world data sets.</p>

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ExceedGAN: simulation above extreme thresholds using Generative Adversarial Networks

  • Michaël Allouche,
  • Stéphane Girard,
  • Emmanuel Gobet

摘要

This paper devises a novel neural-inspired approach for simulating multivariate extremes. Specifically, we propose a GAN-based generative model for sampling multivariate data exceeding large thresholds, giving rise to what we refer to as the ExceedGAN algorithm. Our approach is based on approximating marginal log-quantile functions using feedforward neural networks with eLU activation functions specifically introduced for bias correction. An error bound is provided on the margins, assuming a \(\varvec{J}\) th order condition from extreme value theory. The numerical experiments illustrate that ExceedGAN outperforms competitors, both on synthetic and real-world data sets.