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<p>This study analyzes the role of cybersecurity as a strategic element of resilience within the Anthropocene, a period defined by the inextricable coupling of human agency, global digital infrastructures, and escalating systemic risks. Rather than a rhetorical frame, the Anthropocene is operationalized here as a socio-technical constraint that amplifies the scale and speed of cyber threats beyond traditional management capacities. Utilizing a patent-based lens, we map the innovation landscape to identify strategic gaps across the axes of the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity framework (CSF) 2.0 and sustainability domains. Methodologically, a dataset of <i>N</i> = 9,579 simple patent families retrieved from Lens.org was subjected to a multi-dimensional classification using a Tri-Layer Ensemble framework (Gemma 3, SciBERT, and TF-IDF). This approach ensures methodological rigor, mitigates model hallucinations, and provides a stable consensus where human experts often face categorical ambiguity. The findings reveal a significant asymmetry in the developmental stages of cybersecurity innovation. While domains such as Critical Infrastructure have reached technological maturity following an S-curve growth pattern, integration into socio-economic sustainability remains in its nascent stages. In terms of strategic focus, the vast majority of patents are concentrated in proactive Identify and Protect functions, whereas critical gaps were identified in the Respond and Recover phases. Drawing on complexity theory (Dekker et al., <CitationRef CitationID="CR13">2011</CitationRef>), these gaps are interpreted as emergent properties of socio-technical systems that necessitate human judgment over technical codification. By aligning these findings with NATO’s collective defense objectives, the study underscores the imperative of technology diplomacy. This framework enables nations to mitigate information asymmetry, anticipate technological dependencies, and optimize strategic resource allocation to enhance global stability in an increasingly volatile digital landscape.</p>

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Cyber resilience in the Anthropocene: a socio-technical complexity analysis of patent innovation gaps and strategic technology diplomacy

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年6月26日

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  • Haydar Yalcin

摘要

This study analyzes the role of cybersecurity as a strategic element of resilience within the Anthropocene, a period defined by the inextricable coupling of human agency, global digital infrastructures, and escalating systemic risks. Rather than a rhetorical frame, the Anthropocene is operationalized here as a socio-technical constraint that amplifies the scale and speed of cyber threats beyond traditional management capacities. Utilizing a patent-based lens, we map the innovation landscape to identify strategic gaps across the axes of the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Cybersecurity framework (CSF) 2.0 and sustainability domains. Methodologically, a dataset of N = 9,579 simple patent families retrieved from Lens.org was subjected to a multi-dimensional classification using a Tri-Layer Ensemble framework (Gemma 3, SciBERT, and TF-IDF). This approach ensures methodological rigor, mitigates model hallucinations, and provides a stable consensus where human experts often face categorical ambiguity. The findings reveal a significant asymmetry in the developmental stages of cybersecurity innovation. While domains such as Critical Infrastructure have reached technological maturity following an S-curve growth pattern, integration into socio-economic sustainability remains in its nascent stages. In terms of strategic focus, the vast majority of patents are concentrated in proactive Identify and Protect functions, whereas critical gaps were identified in the Respond and Recover phases. Drawing on complexity theory (Dekker et al., 2011), these gaps are interpreted as emergent properties of socio-technical systems that necessitate human judgment over technical codification. By aligning these findings with NATO’s collective defense objectives, the study underscores the imperative of technology diplomacy. This framework enables nations to mitigate information asymmetry, anticipate technological dependencies, and optimize strategic resource allocation to enhance global stability in an increasingly volatile digital landscape.