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<p>Coastal cities sit at the frontier of human development and ocean change, making resilience a central policy question: how can cities absorb shocks, reorganize, and sustain essential functions? We assemble a decision-relevant picture for 53 Chinese coastal cities (2006–2020), asking how resilience evolves over time and which capacities most shape it. We track social, ecological, and technological dimensions through indicators of resistance (first-line defense and service continuity), adaptation (operational adjustment and recovery), and transformation (long-horizon structural change). Resilience increases overall but remains uneven, with a clear core–periphery pattern anchored by major hubs and strong spatial path-dependence. Infrastructure robustness, innovation capacity, and supportive governance consistently associate with higher resilience; importantly, their complementarities matter more than any single lever. Economic activity and environmental baselines play context-dependent supporting roles. These findings argue for portfolio-style interventions: coupling green–grey infrastructure with early-warning and operations, under integrated land–sea coordination and stable fiscal support. The approach provides practical anchors for monitoring and aligns with the 2030 Agenda—advancing disaster-ready, inclusive urban governance (SDG 11) while safeguarding coastal ecosystems that buffer risk (SDG 14).</p>

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Evaluating urban resilience through Social-Ecological-Technological systems in Chinese coastal cities

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2026年1月7日

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  • Mingbao Chen,
  • Wenhui Wang,
  • Ping Wang

摘要

Coastal cities sit at the frontier of human development and ocean change, making resilience a central policy question: how can cities absorb shocks, reorganize, and sustain essential functions? We assemble a decision-relevant picture for 53 Chinese coastal cities (2006–2020), asking how resilience evolves over time and which capacities most shape it. We track social, ecological, and technological dimensions through indicators of resistance (first-line defense and service continuity), adaptation (operational adjustment and recovery), and transformation (long-horizon structural change). Resilience increases overall but remains uneven, with a clear core–periphery pattern anchored by major hubs and strong spatial path-dependence. Infrastructure robustness, innovation capacity, and supportive governance consistently associate with higher resilience; importantly, their complementarities matter more than any single lever. Economic activity and environmental baselines play context-dependent supporting roles. These findings argue for portfolio-style interventions: coupling green–grey infrastructure with early-warning and operations, under integrated land–sea coordination and stable fiscal support. The approach provides practical anchors for monitoring and aligns with the 2030 Agenda—advancing disaster-ready, inclusive urban governance (SDG 11) while safeguarding coastal ecosystems that buffer risk (SDG 14).