System dynamics–based optimization of potassium monopersulfate disinfection in industrialized Penaeus vannamei culture
摘要
Potassium peroxymonosulfate (PMS) is widely used as a disinfectant in shrimp aquaculture, but inappropriate dosing can lead to ineffective pathogen control or toxicity to cultured organisms. This study developed a quantitative framework to optimize disinfection in industrialized Pacific white shrimp (Penaeus vannamei) culture. The approach integrates pathogen inactivation, disinfectant decay, and shrimp safety. Laboratory experiments quantified the inactivation kinetics of PMS against pathogenic Vibrio species. Additionally, we assessed the decay of effective disinfectant concentration under varying water-quality conditions and the acute toxicity to juvenile shrimp. The results showed that PMS exerted a marked concentration-dependent inactivation effect on Vibrio spp., with maximum reductions of approximately 1.70–1.96 log10 for sensitive strains at 2 mg/L. However, at lower concentrations (0.50–1.00 mg/L), V. alginolyticus, V. campbellii, and V. parahaemolyticus showed regrowth after 6–12 h. The decay of PMS-derived residual oxidant followed first-order reaction kinetics and was significantly affected by environmental factors, including temperature, total suspended solids, and chemical oxygen demand. The 96-h median lethal concentration (LC50) for juvenile shrimp was 6.365 mg/L. This value corresponds to a calculated safe concentration (SC) of 0.6365 mg/L. These datasets were integrated into a system dynamics model that couples Vibrio growth, disinfectant decay, and bactericidal efficacy, enabling dynamic simulation of pathogen suppression and post-disinfection rebound. Model predictions agreed well with independent experimental observations. This study provides a practical decision-support tool to balance Vibrio control with shrimp safety. These results support precision disinfection management strategies for sustainable aquaculture.