International portfolio optimization with chance constraints
摘要
In this paper, we study an international portfolio selection problem, which allocates wealth in different security markets. We built an international portfolio selection model with a chance constraint to guarantee the portfolio performance over a benchmark in a large probability. Stock returns are modeled by a multi-factor structure with Gaussian residuals, while factors, exchange rates and the benchmark follow heavy-tailed marginals coupled by copulas to capture nonlinear dependence. We develop a partial sampling approximation method combined with a sequential convex approximation method to solve the chance constrained international portfolio selection problem. Extensive experiments on developed and emerging markets show the reasonability and superior out-of-sample performance of the proposed international portfolio selection model.