Purpose
Conventional pulse-contour analysis estimates cardiac output ( \(CO\) ) from arterial pressure waveforms but often relies on demographic calibration or black-box modeling, which limits physiological interpretability and generalizability. This study aims to develop and validate a structurally identifiable model that simultaneously estimates \(CO\) and vascular parameters from peripheral arterial pressure waveforms.
Methods
The proposed framework is based on a four-element Windkessel model reformulated through \(\alpha \) -parameters ( \({\alpha }_{C},{\alpha }_{R},{\alpha }_{L}, {\alpha }_{\tau }\) ) that encapsulate arterial compliance, resistive and inertial loads, and pressure decay dynamics. Radial peripheral arterial pressure (pABP) waveforms are preprocessed, smoothed, converted into a periodic representation, and fitted to the Windkessel model to extract \(\alpha \) -parameters. Combined with biometric covariates, these parameters serve as inputs to a generalized linear model (Gamma distribution, identity link) trained to estimate \(CO\) . The estimated \(CO\) is subsequently reinjected into the \(\alpha \) -parameter expressions to derive arterial compliance ( \(C\) ), characteristic impedance ( \({R}_{z}\) ), distal resistance ( \({R}_{dis}\) ), and inertance ( \(L\) ).
Results
Internal validation against the EV1000 pulse-contour reference yields an \({R}^{2}=0.82\) , negligible bias (− 0.02 \(\text{L}.{\text{min}}^{-1}\) ), and a percentage error ( \(PE\) ) of 26.17%, meeting the clinical interchangeability criterion ( \(PE\) < 30%). External evaluation on an independent Vigileo dataset achieves \({R}^{2}=0.72\) and \(PE\) = 28.41% without retraining, confirming robustness across platforms.
Conclusion
The \(\alpha \) -parameterized Windkessel framework provides a physiologically interpretable, data-efficient, and calibration-free alternative for \(CO\) estimation. Beyond \(CO\) , it simultaneously quantifies \(C\) , \({R}_{z}\) , \({R}_{dis}\) , and \(L\) , offering a comprehensive and mechanistically grounded hemodynamic profile from a single peripheral arterial pressure signal, suitable for real-time integration into perioperative and critical care monitoring.