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<p>For the case of a slowly time-varying Okun’s law, the paper proposes a method to identify male and female Okun coefficients based upon the trajectory of the economy-wide Okun coefficient. The method rests upon a disaggregation principle that requires that gender-specific Okun coefficients be in “accounting” agreement with economy-wide Okun coefficients, which is not recognized in conventional applications. Albeit equally applicable also for the difference version of Okun’s law, the method is demonstrated with the more general gap version for the Group of Seven (G7) economies over a period 1991–2022. The demonstration reveals that the conventional approach often leads to implausible trajectories of Okun coefficients and that the unemployment-output nexus for the past three decades did not have constant features. Furthermore, male unemployment need not be universally more exposed to the business cycle, but gender sensitivity may alternate over time with a little difference between males and females.</p>

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A method for the gender disaggregation of Okun’s law

  • 期刊论文

  • 出版模式：

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  • 发表日期：

    2026年3月28日

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  • Martin Boďa,
  • Michaela Tichá

摘要

For the case of a slowly time-varying Okun’s law, the paper proposes a method to identify male and female Okun coefficients based upon the trajectory of the economy-wide Okun coefficient. The method rests upon a disaggregation principle that requires that gender-specific Okun coefficients be in “accounting” agreement with economy-wide Okun coefficients, which is not recognized in conventional applications. Albeit equally applicable also for the difference version of Okun’s law, the method is demonstrated with the more general gap version for the Group of Seven (G7) economies over a period 1991–2022. The demonstration reveals that the conventional approach often leads to implausible trajectories of Okun coefficients and that the unemployment-output nexus for the past three decades did not have constant features. Furthermore, male unemployment need not be universally more exposed to the business cycle, but gender sensitivity may alternate over time with a little difference between males and females.