<p>Effective portfolio management is crucial in today’s fast-moving and unpredictable financial landscape. This paper introduces a powerful and adaptive investment framework that fuses classical portfolio theory with cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) to optimize portfolio performance during volatile market conditions. Our methodology seamlessly integrates K-means clustering to identify asset groupings based on correlation structures of technical indicators, mean-variance optimization (MVO) to achieve an ideal risk-return trade-off, and advanced Machine Learning (ML) and reinforcement learning (RL) techniques to dynamically adjust asset allocations and simulate market behavior. The proposed framework is rigorously evaluated on historical stock data from 60 prominent stocks listed on NASDAQ, NYSE, and S&amp;P 500 indices between 2021 and 2024, a period marked by significant economic shocks, global uncertainty, and structural market shifts. Our experimental results show that our framework consistently outperforms traditional strategies and recent state of the art models, achieving superior metrics including Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, annual return, maximum drawdown, and Calmar ratio. We also assess the computational efficiency of the approach, ensuring its feasibility for real-world deployment. This work demonstrates the transformative potential of AI-driven portfolio optimization in empowering investors to make smarter, faster, and more resilient financial decisions amid uncertainty.</p>

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A novel approach for dynamic portfolio management integrating K-means clustering, mean-variance optimization, and reinforcement learning

  • Zakia Zouaghia,
  • Zahra Kodia,
  • Lamjed Ben said

摘要

Effective portfolio management is crucial in today’s fast-moving and unpredictable financial landscape. This paper introduces a powerful and adaptive investment framework that fuses classical portfolio theory with cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) to optimize portfolio performance during volatile market conditions. Our methodology seamlessly integrates K-means clustering to identify asset groupings based on correlation structures of technical indicators, mean-variance optimization (MVO) to achieve an ideal risk-return trade-off, and advanced Machine Learning (ML) and reinforcement learning (RL) techniques to dynamically adjust asset allocations and simulate market behavior. The proposed framework is rigorously evaluated on historical stock data from 60 prominent stocks listed on NASDAQ, NYSE, and S&P 500 indices between 2021 and 2024, a period marked by significant economic shocks, global uncertainty, and structural market shifts. Our experimental results show that our framework consistently outperforms traditional strategies and recent state of the art models, achieving superior metrics including Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, annual return, maximum drawdown, and Calmar ratio. We also assess the computational efficiency of the approach, ensuring its feasibility for real-world deployment. This work demonstrates the transformative potential of AI-driven portfolio optimization in empowering investors to make smarter, faster, and more resilient financial decisions amid uncertainty.