Incorporating environmental attitudes into a discrete choice experiment to support climate change adaptation in Alaska, USA
摘要
Global climate change is rapidly transforming the interrelationships between human and natural systems in unprecedented ways, especially on public lands that support subarctic communities. Management decisions being made about the future of these contexts require knowledge of the multiple competing perspectives of community members affected by climate change. We therefore engaged residents from 10 communities adjacent to protected areas in Interior Alaska to understand how they were visioning for a rapidly changing future. Results from a discrete choice experiment illustrated the relative importance of competing conditions including moose populations, fire management strategies, off-season tourism, and costs. The likelihood that residents would prefer a hypothetical future significantly increased with higher moose populations, more acres of forest managed for fire, slower growth rates of off-season tourism, and fewer costs. Further, attitudes toward these conditions explained variation in the strength of residents’ stated preferences. Our study provides empirical evidence of how residents are evaluating and making decisions about the future of a region that is severely impacted by climate change. We also draw from multiple disciplines, particularly economics and psychology, to provide synthetic insights for guiding adaptive management of climate change at a regional scale.