Climate change adaptation in small island developing states: evidence from the nationally determined contributions of Caribbean States
摘要
Small Island Developing States (SIDS) in the Caribbean are disproportionately vulnerable to the intensifying impacts of climate change. While understanding the effectiveness of their adaptation strategies is crucial for their long-term sustainability, a comprehensive investigation of their implementation remains limited. This study aims to analyze the initial and updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) of 13 Caribbean SIDS to assess their climate vulnerability recognition, adaptation strategies, and the evolution of these strategies over time. Through a content analysis of the NDCs, the study finds that all 13 Caribbean SIDS acknowledge their vulnerability to climate change. Collaborative approaches involving multiple stakeholders have been instrumental in developing and implementing adaptation strategies. Many countries have prioritized data collection and integrated climate adaptation into their national development plans. While initial NDCs often focused on large-scale infrastructure projects, updated NDCs increasingly emphasize softer, more holistic approaches, such as ecosystem-based adaptation and community engagement. The implications of these results suggest that to further enhance their adaptation efforts, Caribbean SIDS should prioritize data collection, integrate social and economic considerations, emphasize adaptation co-benefits, develop robust monitoring systems, and refine cost estimation practices. These improvements will strengthen their resilience to climate change and improve their ability to access international climate finance.