<p>We consider a two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model with multimodal uncertainty, where both the mode probabilities and uncertainty distributions could be affected by the first-stage decisions. To address this setting, we propose a generic framework by introducing a <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\phi \)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mi>ϕ</mi> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>-divergence based ambiguity set to characterize the decision-dependent mode probabilities and further consider both moment-based and Wasserstein distance-based ambiguity sets to characterize the uncertainty distribution under each mode. We identify two special <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\phi \)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mi>ϕ</mi> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>-divergence examples (variation distance and <InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\chi ^2\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msup> <mi>χ</mi> <mn>2</mn> </msup> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>-distance) and provide specific forms of decision dependence relationships under which we can derive tractable reformulations. Furthermore, we investigate the benefits of considering multimodality in a DRO model compared to a single-modal counterpart through an analytical analysis. Additionally, we develop a separation-based decomposition algorithm to solve the resulting multimodal decision-dependent DRO models with finite convergence and optimality guarantee under certain settings. We provide a detailed computational study over two example problem settings, the facility location problem and shipment planning problem with pricing, to illustrate our results, which demonstrate that omission of multimodality or decision-dependent uncertainties within DRO frameworks result in inadequately performing solutions with worse in-sample and out-of-sample performances under various settings. We further demonstrate the speed-ups obtained by the solution algorithm against the off-the-shelf solver over various instances.</p>

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Distributionally robust optimization with multimodal decision-dependent ambiguity sets

  • Xian Yu,
  • Beste Basciftci

摘要

We consider a two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model with multimodal uncertainty, where both the mode probabilities and uncertainty distributions could be affected by the first-stage decisions. To address this setting, we propose a generic framework by introducing a \(\phi \) ϕ -divergence based ambiguity set to characterize the decision-dependent mode probabilities and further consider both moment-based and Wasserstein distance-based ambiguity sets to characterize the uncertainty distribution under each mode. We identify two special \(\phi \) ϕ -divergence examples (variation distance and \(\chi ^2\) χ 2 -distance) and provide specific forms of decision dependence relationships under which we can derive tractable reformulations. Furthermore, we investigate the benefits of considering multimodality in a DRO model compared to a single-modal counterpart through an analytical analysis. Additionally, we develop a separation-based decomposition algorithm to solve the resulting multimodal decision-dependent DRO models with finite convergence and optimality guarantee under certain settings. We provide a detailed computational study over two example problem settings, the facility location problem and shipment planning problem with pricing, to illustrate our results, which demonstrate that omission of multimodality or decision-dependent uncertainties within DRO frameworks result in inadequately performing solutions with worse in-sample and out-of-sample performances under various settings. We further demonstrate the speed-ups obtained by the solution algorithm against the off-the-shelf solver over various instances.