Hierarchical multi-scale temporal-frequency pattern extraction for accurate wind speed forecasting
摘要
Accurate wind speed forecasting is essential for optimizing wind energy utilization and maintaining power grid stability. However, wind speed time series exhibit pronounced multi-scale fluctuations and complex time–frequency characteristics, which remain challenging for existing forecasting models. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a Multi-scale Temporal–Frequency Network (MFTNet), a deep learning framework that integrates multi-scale temporal analysis, frequency-domain feature extraction, and adaptive attention. MFTNet consists of three components: a Multi-scale Temporal Feature Extractor (MTFE), which captures wind speed dynamics at multiple temporal resolutions via hierarchical sliding-window operations; a Frequency-domain Feature Reconstruction Module (FFRM), which performs time–frequency transformation and representation learning to recover periodic patterns and trend information that are often under-exploited in purely time-domain modeling; and an Adaptive Attention Mechanism (AAM), which selectively emphasizes salient predictive cues in long sequences based on fused temporal–frequency features rather than isolated single-domain representations. Experiments on three real-world wind speed datasets show that MFTNet consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, including PatchTST and Informer, yielding average improvements of approximately 5.5% in mean squared error (MSE) and 8.0% in mean absolute error (MAE), along with consistently higher coefficient of determination (