<p>We propose two signature-based methods to solve an optimal stopping problem – that is, to price American options – in non-Markovian frameworks. Both methods rely on a global approximation result for <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="780_2025_570_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="20" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msup> <mi>L</mi> <mi>p</mi> </msup> </math></EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$L^{p}$</EquationSource> </InlineEquation>-functionals on rough-path spaces, using linear functionals of robust, rough-path signatures. In the primal formulation, we present a non-Markovian generalisation of the famous Longstaff–Schwartz algorithm, using linear functionals of the signature as regression basis. For the dual formulation, we parametrise the space of square-integrable martingales using linear functionals of the signature and apply a sample average approximation. We prove convergence for both methods and present first numerical examples in non-Markovian and non-semimartingale regimes.</p>

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Primal and dual optimal stopping with signatures

  • Christian Bayer,
  • Luca Pelizzari,
  • John Schoenmakers

摘要

We propose two signature-based methods to solve an optimal stopping problem – that is, to price American options – in non-Markovian frameworks. Both methods rely on a global approximation result for L p $L^{p}$ -functionals on rough-path spaces, using linear functionals of robust, rough-path signatures. In the primal formulation, we present a non-Markovian generalisation of the famous Longstaff–Schwartz algorithm, using linear functionals of the signature as regression basis. For the dual formulation, we parametrise the space of square-integrable martingales using linear functionals of the signature and apply a sample average approximation. We prove convergence for both methods and present first numerical examples in non-Markovian and non-semimartingale regimes.