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<p>The variation in climatic parameters like temperature, precipitation and humidity significantly influences agricultural ecosystem and human societies by affecting crop yield, cropping pattern and overall agricultural practices. Understanding agricultural vulnerability to these variations is crucial for preventing long-term consequences such as food security, changing human settlement patterns and economic instability. Thus, this study attempted to study micro level vulnerability in agriculture in Mirzapur district of Uttar Pradesh. The study aimed to introduce Agriculture Vulnerability Index (AVI) and evaluate the farmer perception about climate change and significant impact on agriculture utilising both primary and secondary data. The primary data was collected from 240 respondent using multistage random stratified sampling. The AVI was computed utilising Shannon Information Entropy method based on four indicators such as exposure to climatic variability, exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity divided into 23 indicators. Ground Water Extraction (17.03%), Agricultural Wasteland (9.92%), Rural population (7.30%), and Barren land (6.21%) disproportionately influenced the agricultural vulnerability. The findings of the study revealed significant variation in agricultural vulnerability in which Hallia, Kon, Nagar, and Pahari block were found to be severely vulnerable to climatic variation. The farmers opinion revealed that the study area is experiencing erratic climatic variation like unseasonal rains and droughts causing serious distress to them. The agricultural landscape has undergone a notable transformation, characterized by a transition to a rice–wheat-gram cropping system, primarily facilitated by enhanced irrigation infrastructure as observed from primary survey. The farmers are compelled to revert to their old system of millet-gram-wheat cropping system due to increased ground water exploitation and present climatic variability. The research underscores the critical imperative of implementing agricultural diversification strategies, drought-resistant crop varieties, micro-irrigation, or policy incentives to mitigate climate vulnerability and improve food sustainability. The study reinforces the farmers opinion-based research to integrate indigenous knowledge system with conventional science-based knowledge to enhance resilience and ensure agricultural development at the micro level.</p>

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Micro-level assessment of agricultural vulnerability to climate variability in Mirzapur District, Uttar Pradesh

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年7月2日

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  • Lucky Sharma,
  • Shikha Singh,
  • Priyanka Das,
  • Priyanka Gupta,
  • Nikhil Kumar Tiwary,
  • Subham Oraon

摘要

The variation in climatic parameters like temperature, precipitation and humidity significantly influences agricultural ecosystem and human societies by affecting crop yield, cropping pattern and overall agricultural practices. Understanding agricultural vulnerability to these variations is crucial for preventing long-term consequences such as food security, changing human settlement patterns and economic instability. Thus, this study attempted to study micro level vulnerability in agriculture in Mirzapur district of Uttar Pradesh. The study aimed to introduce Agriculture Vulnerability Index (AVI) and evaluate the farmer perception about climate change and significant impact on agriculture utilising both primary and secondary data. The primary data was collected from 240 respondent using multistage random stratified sampling. The AVI was computed utilising Shannon Information Entropy method based on four indicators such as exposure to climatic variability, exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity divided into 23 indicators. Ground Water Extraction (17.03%), Agricultural Wasteland (9.92%), Rural population (7.30%), and Barren land (6.21%) disproportionately influenced the agricultural vulnerability. The findings of the study revealed significant variation in agricultural vulnerability in which Hallia, Kon, Nagar, and Pahari block were found to be severely vulnerable to climatic variation. The farmers opinion revealed that the study area is experiencing erratic climatic variation like unseasonal rains and droughts causing serious distress to them. The agricultural landscape has undergone a notable transformation, characterized by a transition to a rice–wheat-gram cropping system, primarily facilitated by enhanced irrigation infrastructure as observed from primary survey. The farmers are compelled to revert to their old system of millet-gram-wheat cropping system due to increased ground water exploitation and present climatic variability. The research underscores the critical imperative of implementing agricultural diversification strategies, drought-resistant crop varieties, micro-irrigation, or policy incentives to mitigate climate vulnerability and improve food sustainability. The study reinforces the farmers opinion-based research to integrate indigenous knowledge system with conventional science-based knowledge to enhance resilience and ensure agricultural development at the micro level.