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<p>Rainfed hill agriculture is vulnerable to climate change, as smallholder farmers experience a decline in crop yields due to changes in temperature and rainfall patterns. This study investigates the climate sensitivity of the cereals in Uttarakhand using a district level data set and evaluates the role of finger millet as a climate resilient alternative. We employed a fixed effect regression approach for estimating the effects of the climatic and non-climate variables on crop yields. Results suggest that finger millet yield is significantly less sensitive to temperature and rainfall variations than maize and rice (p &gt; 0.05). Under an extreme climate scenario, finger millet yield is projected to increase by 16 percent by 2100. Complementary evidence from the front-line demonstration confirms that the promotion of high-yielding variety of finger millet coupled with interventions like transplanting leads to substantial yield improvement and economic returns. These results underscore the urgent need to promote climate-resilient crops like finger millet in hill regions to offer pathways for climate resilient and economically viable agriculture.</p>

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Climate change adaptation and economic potential of finger millet in the North-Western Himalayan Region, India

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年5月31日

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  • Amit Thakur,
  • Dinesh Chandra Joshi,
  • Kushagra Joshi,
  • Mahendar Singh Bhinda,
  • Lakshmi Kant

摘要

Rainfed hill agriculture is vulnerable to climate change, as smallholder farmers experience a decline in crop yields due to changes in temperature and rainfall patterns. This study investigates the climate sensitivity of the cereals in Uttarakhand using a district level data set and evaluates the role of finger millet as a climate resilient alternative. We employed a fixed effect regression approach for estimating the effects of the climatic and non-climate variables on crop yields. Results suggest that finger millet yield is significantly less sensitive to temperature and rainfall variations than maize and rice (p > 0.05). Under an extreme climate scenario, finger millet yield is projected to increase by 16 percent by 2100. Complementary evidence from the front-line demonstration confirms that the promotion of high-yielding variety of finger millet coupled with interventions like transplanting leads to substantial yield improvement and economic returns. These results underscore the urgent need to promote climate-resilient crops like finger millet in hill regions to offer pathways for climate resilient and economically viable agriculture.