Scholarlink

<p>Drought was defined as water scarcity resulting from below-normal precipitation in a specific region over an extended period. Analysis of droughts was of vital importance in terms of water resources planning and management, hydropower generation, irrigation planning, agricultural productivity, and reservoir planning. In this study, drought status was evaluated according to the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and De Martonne Index (DMI) values calculated between 1979 and 2022 for seasonal and annual periods for Amasya, Çorum, Samsun, and Tokat meteorological stations located in the Yeşilırmak Basin, and station-based drought percentages were expressed. In addition, trend and change point analyses were conducted for each drought index according to Şen’s Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), Sequential Mann-Kendall (SQMK), and Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA) methods. The analysis identified the trends and onset years of droughts in the region, revealing that severe droughts were dominant at a 15% level. ITA results indicated a significant decreasing trend of 5–10% in spring, summer, autumn, and annual periods, alongside an increasing drought trend. SQMK analyses confirmed a general decreasing trend at the stations, while IPTA highlighted the dominance of increasing drought intensities in SPI, SPEI, and DMI trends. These findings underscored the need for policymakers to take proactive measures to mitigate drought risks in the Yeşilırmak Basin.</p>

错误：搜索内容不能为空，请输入英文关键词
错误：关键词超出字数限制，请精简
高级检索

Hydroclimatic drought trends and change point detection in the Yeşilirmak basin: a comprehensive evaluation using SPI, SPEI, DMI indices and ITA, SQMK, IPTA approaches

  • 期刊论文

  • 发表日期：

    2025年4月30日

查看全文
  • Meva Nur Öllükçü,
  • Okan Mert Katipoğlu

摘要

Drought was defined as water scarcity resulting from below-normal precipitation in a specific region over an extended period. Analysis of droughts was of vital importance in terms of water resources planning and management, hydropower generation, irrigation planning, agricultural productivity, and reservoir planning. In this study, drought status was evaluated according to the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and De Martonne Index (DMI) values calculated between 1979 and 2022 for seasonal and annual periods for Amasya, Çorum, Samsun, and Tokat meteorological stations located in the Yeşilırmak Basin, and station-based drought percentages were expressed. In addition, trend and change point analyses were conducted for each drought index according to Şen’s Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), Sequential Mann-Kendall (SQMK), and Innovative Polygon Trend Analysis (IPTA) methods. The analysis identified the trends and onset years of droughts in the region, revealing that severe droughts were dominant at a 15% level. ITA results indicated a significant decreasing trend of 5–10% in spring, summer, autumn, and annual periods, alongside an increasing drought trend. SQMK analyses confirmed a general decreasing trend at the stations, while IPTA highlighted the dominance of increasing drought intensities in SPI, SPEI, and DMI trends. These findings underscored the need for policymakers to take proactive measures to mitigate drought risks in the Yeşilırmak Basin.