<p>Accurate weather forecasting can reduce many social and economic losses caused by severe weather. In recent years, spatiotemporal prediction based on deep learning has shown great potential in weather forecasting. However, many existing methods have limited performance in capturing long-term temporal correlations, which makes it difficult to utilize the information at earlier time steps effectively and leads to inaccurate predictions. To address this issue, we develop a Temporal Attention LSTM (TA-LSTM) as the prediction unit by introducing a Temporal Attention Module (TAM) to better utilize the historical information. TAM extends the temporal receptive field of the prediction unit by assigning varying levels of attention to different input information at each time step and accepts all historical information as the input based on the attention levels. In addition, a local attention mechanism is introduced to TA-LSTM to learn spatial correlations from historical data. Experiments on three widely used datasets are performed, and the results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method, as compared with several state-of-the-art methods.</p>

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TA-LSTM: Temporal Attention LSTM for spatiotemporal weather prediction

  • Jing Dong,
  • Jinxiong Fan,
  • Junzhuo Zhang,
  • Chang Liu,
  • Wei Cheng

摘要

Accurate weather forecasting can reduce many social and economic losses caused by severe weather. In recent years, spatiotemporal prediction based on deep learning has shown great potential in weather forecasting. However, many existing methods have limited performance in capturing long-term temporal correlations, which makes it difficult to utilize the information at earlier time steps effectively and leads to inaccurate predictions. To address this issue, we develop a Temporal Attention LSTM (TA-LSTM) as the prediction unit by introducing a Temporal Attention Module (TAM) to better utilize the historical information. TAM extends the temporal receptive field of the prediction unit by assigning varying levels of attention to different input information at each time step and accepts all historical information as the input based on the attention levels. In addition, a local attention mechanism is introduced to TA-LSTM to learn spatial correlations from historical data. Experiments on three widely used datasets are performed, and the results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method, as compared with several state-of-the-art methods.