Prognostic value of coronary plaque composition in symptomatic patients with obstructive coronary artery disease
摘要
To determine whether plaque composition analysis defined by cardiac CT can provide incremental prognostic value above coronary artery disease (CAD) burden markers in symptomatic patients with obstructive CAD.
Materials and methodsBetween 2009 and 2019, a multicentric registry included all consecutive symptomatic patients with obstructive CAD (at least one ≥ 50% stenosis on CCTA) and was followed for major adverse cardiovascular (MACE) defined by cardiovascular death or nonfatal myocardial infarction. Each coronary segment was scored visually for both the degree of stenosis and composition of plaque, which were classified as non-calcified, mixed, or calcified. To assess the prognostic value of each CCTA findings, different multivariable Cox regression models were used: model 1: clinical (traditional risk factors); model 2: model 1 + CAD burden (number of proximal segments with stenosis ≥ 50% + number of vessels with obstructive CAD); and model 3: model 2 + plaques feature (number of segments with non-calcified plaque).
ResultsOf 2312 patients (mean age 70 ± 12 years, 46% men), 319 experienced a MACE (13.8%) (median follow-up: 6.7 years (5.9–9.1)). The number of proximal segments with ≥ 50% stenosis, the number of vessels with obstructive CAD, and the number of segments with non-calcified plaque were all independently associated with MACEs (all p < 0.001). The addition of plaque composition analysis (model 3) showed the best improvement in model discrimination and reclassification (C-statistic improvement = 0.03; net reclassification improvement = 28.6%; integrative discrimination index = 5.4%, all p < 0.001).
ConclusionsIn this population, the analysis of coronary plaque composition had an incremental prognostic value to predict MACEs above a model combining traditional risk factors and CAD burden.
Key Points