<p>In this paper, we study epidemic models in a periodic patchy environment with bilinear incidence but without vital dynamics. We first show that there exists a minimal wave speed <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="285_2025_2228_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="16" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(c^*\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msup> <mi>c</mi> <mo>∗</mo> </msup> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> such that the system admits bounded traveling wave solutions if <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="285_2025_2228_Article_IEq2.gif" Format="GIF" Height="16" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="47" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(c\ge c^*\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mi>c</mi> <mo>≥</mo> <msup> <mi>c</mi> <mo>∗</mo> </msup> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> and <InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="285_2025_2228_Article_IEq3.gif" Format="GIF" Height="16" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="53" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\mathcal {R}_{0}&gt;1\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <msub> <mi mathvariant="script">R</mi> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>&gt;</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, where <InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="285_2025_2228_Article_IEq4.gif" Format="GIF" Height="16" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="22" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\mathcal {R}_{0}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msub> <mi mathvariant="script">R</mi> <mn>0</mn> </msub> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> is the basic reproduction number. Then we prove the non-existence of traveling wave solutions for the case where <InlineEquation ID="IEq5"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="285_2025_2228_Article_IEq5.gif" Format="GIF" Height="16" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="54" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\mathcal {R}_{0}\le 1\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <msub> <mi mathvariant="script">R</mi> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>≤</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, or <InlineEquation ID="IEq6"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="285_2025_2228_Article_IEq3.gif" Format="GIF" Height="16" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="53" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\mathcal {R}_{0}&gt;1\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <msub> <mi mathvariant="script">R</mi> <mn>0</mn> </msub> <mo>&gt;</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> and <InlineEquation ID="IEq7"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="285_2025_2228_Article_IEq7.gif" Format="GIF" Height="19" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="71" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(c\in (0,c^{*})\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mrow> <mi>c</mi> <mo>∈</mo> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mn>0</mn> <mo>,</mo> <mmultiscripts> <mi>c</mi> <mrow /> <mrow> <mrow /> <mo>∗</mo> </mrow> </mmultiscripts> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>. Our analysis also indicates that the heterogeneity of transmission rates and removed rates can increase <InlineEquation ID="IEq8"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="285_2025_2228_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="16" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(c^*\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msup> <mi>c</mi> <mo>∗</mo> </msup> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, meanwhile the heterogeneity of diffusion rate of the infected individuals decreases <InlineEquation ID="IEq9"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="285_2025_2228_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="16" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(c^*\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <msup> <mi>c</mi> <mo>∗</mo> </msup> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>. Finally, we discuss how the parameters and their heterogeneity affect the final size of the epidemic via numerical simulations, and give some advice for disease control.</p>

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Traveling waves for an epidemic patchy model with bilinear incidence

  • Xue-Feng San,
  • Zhi-Cheng Wang,
  • Xiao-Qiang Zhao

摘要

In this paper, we study epidemic models in a periodic patchy environment with bilinear incidence but without vital dynamics. We first show that there exists a minimal wave speed \(c^*\) c such that the system admits bounded traveling wave solutions if \(c\ge c^*\) c c and \(\mathcal {R}_{0}>1\) R 0 > 1 , where \(\mathcal {R}_{0}\) R 0 is the basic reproduction number. Then we prove the non-existence of traveling wave solutions for the case where \(\mathcal {R}_{0}\le 1\) R 0 1 , or \(\mathcal {R}_{0}>1\) R 0 > 1 and \(c\in (0,c^{*})\) c ( 0 , c ) . Our analysis also indicates that the heterogeneity of transmission rates and removed rates can increase \(c^*\) c , meanwhile the heterogeneity of diffusion rate of the infected individuals decreases \(c^*\) c . Finally, we discuss how the parameters and their heterogeneity affect the final size of the epidemic via numerical simulations, and give some advice for disease control.