Building LSTM based forecast model with pattern exploration of load profiles for enhancing energy efficiency in electrical laboratories
摘要
The escalating global demand for electricity and the growing need for sustainable energy practices underscore the importance of accurate load forecasting, particularly within energy-intensive environments like educational institutions. This study presents a robust deep learning framework for predicting laboratory-level energy consumption using smart meter data from four electrical labs at Thiagarajar College of Engineering, India. By integrating Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and a hybrid LSTM-GRU model, the study leverages temporal dependencies to forecast load profiles with high precision. The models are statistically validated through Augmented Dickey-Fuller tests and autocorrelation analysis, ensuring data stationarity and randomness readiness. Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) is employed to uncover energy usage patterns, peak load periods, and seasonal variations. A comparative evaluation of various normalization techniques in conjunction with the Adam optimizer reveals that Z-Score normalization achieves the best performance, with a maximum R2 score of 0.8645 and minimum RMSE of 0.03485. The hybrid model outperforms standalone approaches, demonstrating its suitability for capturing complex consumption trends. This research contributes a scalable, data-driven methodology for load forecasting, enabling improved demand-side management, enhanced energy efficiency, and informed integration of renewable resources within higher educational infrastructures.