<p>This paper delves into the value premium in equity returns, exploring the superior performance of value stocks with high book-to-market (<InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="181_2025_2769_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="28" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\text{BM}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mtext>BM</mtext> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>) ratios over growth stocks. It introduces two novel decomposition models for <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="181_2025_2769_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="28" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\text{BM}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mtext>BM</mtext> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, incorporating Ball et al. (J Financ Econ 135:231–254, 2020)’s findings on the significance of the retained earnings-to-market (<InlineEquation ID="IEq3"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="181_2025_2769_Article_IEq3.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="39" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\text{REM}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mtext>REM</mtext> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation>) component. Through empirical analysis, the paper demonstrates REM’s predictive superiority over traditional <InlineEquation ID="IEq4"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="181_2025_2769_Article_IEq1.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="28" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\text{BM}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mtext>BM</mtext> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> factors in forecasting stock returns, suggesting a shift toward <InlineEquation ID="IEq5"> <InlineMediaObject> <ImageObject Color="BlackWhite" FileRef="181_2025_2769_Article_IEq3.gif" Format="GIF" Height="14" Rendition="HTML" Resolution="72" Type="Linedraw" Width="39" /> </InlineMediaObject> <EquationSource Format="TEX">\(\text{REM}\)</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"><math> <mtext>REM</mtext> </math></EquationSource> </InlineEquation> in asset pricing models. The research contributes to understanding the dynamics of the value premium, offering a refined methodological approach for evaluating firm value and equity returns.</p>

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Breaking down value: a novel method

  • Mohammadreza Tavakoli Baghdadabad,
  • Girijasankar Mallik

摘要

This paper delves into the value premium in equity returns, exploring the superior performance of value stocks with high book-to-market ( \(\text{BM}\) BM ) ratios over growth stocks. It introduces two novel decomposition models for \(\text{BM}\) BM , incorporating Ball et al. (J Financ Econ 135:231–254, 2020)’s findings on the significance of the retained earnings-to-market ( \(\text{REM}\) REM ) component. Through empirical analysis, the paper demonstrates REM’s predictive superiority over traditional \(\text{BM}\) BM factors in forecasting stock returns, suggesting a shift toward \(\text{REM}\) REM in asset pricing models. The research contributes to understanding the dynamics of the value premium, offering a refined methodological approach for evaluating firm value and equity returns.